Penerapan Algoritma Random Forest untuk Memprediksi Curah Hujan pada Masa Mendatang di Daerah Berpotensi Banjir


  • Novie Rahmadani Aswarisman * Mail Politeknik Negeri Sriwijaya, Palembang, Indonesia
  • Ade Silvia Handayani Politeknik Negeri Sriwijaya, Palembang, Indonesia
  • Irawan Hadi Politeknik Negeri Sriwijaya, Palembang, Indonesia
  • (*) Corresponding Author
Keywords: Flood; CRISP-DM; Data Mining; Machine Learning; Random Forest

Abstract

Palembang, as one of the largest cities in Indonesia, regularly experiences severe flooding problems every year. Flooding not only disrupts the daily activities of residents, but also causes significant economic losses and social impacts. To solve this problem, it is crucial to have an in-depth understanding of flooding patterns and some of the factors that influence them. The purpose of this research is to apply highly efficient Machine Learning (ML) technology for the prediction analysis of future flood-prone areas. The integration of ML can help in identifying patterns, predicting risks, and making more accurate decisions in flood mitigation. In an effort to achieve this goal, the CRISP-DM (Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining) methodology will be applied to ensure the research is conducted systematically and comprehensively. Therefore, research on the analysis of mapping flood-prone areas in Palembang using ML is essential to provide a fairly effective and efficient solution to the long-standing flooding problem. With the CRISP-DM approach, it is expected that this research can produce an accurate and reliable prediction model by integrating the Random Forest algorithm as a regression model, and provide long-term benefits for flood risk management in Palembang and several other cities in Indonesia that experience similar problems.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

D. Ayu, H. Sari, J. Rahayu, and B. S. Pujantiyo, “Kajian Kesesuaian Penerapan Konsep Smart Environment sebagai Bagian dari Smart City (Studi Kasus: Kota Semarang),” 2024

H. Sharfina, P. Y. Utami, and I. Fakhruzi, “Prediksi Bencana Banjir Menggunakan Algoritma Deep Learning H2O Berdasarkan Data Curah Hujan,” 2023. doi: https://doi.org/10.35957/jatisi.v10i4.5981.

N. M. . Anggraeni, S. ., and Y. ., “Analisis Dampak Perubahan Iklim dan Pola Angin Pada Lingkungan Global”, jpst, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 1041–1047, Dec. 2023. https://doi.org/10.47233/jpst.v2i4.1366.

R. Afrian, “Kajian Mitigasi Terhadap Penyebab Bencana Banjir di Desa Sidodadi Kota Langsa,” 2021, doi: https://doi.org/10.32663/georaf.v5i2.1660.

Wulandari, E. S. P., and Aziz, R. A., “Model Prediksi Dengan Artificial Neural Network Untuk Kejadian Banjir Rob di Wilayah Pesisir Kota Bandar Lampung,” 2022.

I. Fitriyaningsih, Y. Basani, and L. M. Ginting, “MACHINE LEARNING: PROSPERITY OF RAINFALL, WATER DISCHARGE, AND FLOOD WITH WEB APPLICATION IN DELI SERDANG,” JURNAL PENELITIAN KOMUNIKASI DAN OPINI PUBLIK, vol. 22, no. 2, Dec. 2022, doi: 10.33299/jpkop.22.2.1752.

S. Rizal, “Development of Big Data Analytics Model,” ITEJ Juli-2019, vol. 4, no. 1, 2019, doi: https://doi.org/10.24235/itej.v4i1.47.

N. Yudistira, “Peran Big Data dan Deep Learning untuk Menyelesaikan Permasalahan Secara Komprehensif,” EXPERT: Jurnal Manajemen Sistem Informasi dan Teknologi, vol. 11, no. 2, p. 78, Dec. 2021, doi: 10.36448/expert.v11i2.2063.

M. Bagas, A. Darmawan, F. Dewanta, and S. Astuti, “Analisis Perbandingan Algoritma Decision Tree, Random Forest, dan Naïve Bayes untuk Prediksi Banjir di Desa Dayeuhkolot,” TELKA, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 52–61, 2023.

A. M. Siregar, “Klasifikasi Untuk Prediksi Cuaca Menggunakan Esemble Learning,” PETIR, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 138–147, Sep. 2020, doi: 10.33322/petir.v13i2.998.

E. Tangkelobo, W. Mayaut, H. Listanto, I. Binanto, and N. F. Sianipar, “Perbandingan Algoritma Klasifikasi Random Forest, Gaussian Naive Bayes, dan K-Nearest untuk Data Tidak Seimbang dan Data yang diseimbangkan dengan metode Random Undersampling pada dataset LCMS Tanaman Keladi Tikus,” 2023. doi: https://doi.org/10.35842/sintaks.v2i1.28.

M. Azhari, Z. Situmorang, and R. Rosnelly, “Perbandingan Akurasi, Recall, dan Presisi Klasifikasi pada Algoritma C4.5, Random Forest, SVM dan Naive Bayes,” JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA, vol. 5, no. 2, p. 640, Apr. 2021, doi: 10.30865/mib.v5i2.2937.

Hammam Riza, E. W. S. Santoso, Iwan Gunawan Tejakusuma, Firman Prawiradisastra, and Prihartanto, “Pemanfaatan Kecerdasan Artifisial untuk Meningkatkan Mitigasi Bencana Banjir,” in Prosiding Use Cases Artificial Intelligence Indonesia: Embracing Collaboration for Research and Industrial Innovation in Artificial Intelligence, Penerbit BRIN, 2023. doi: 10.55981/brin.668.c545.

I. Daniel, Z. Situmorang, J. Setia Budi, K. Tengah, and K. Medan Tuntungan, “Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms in Predicting the Flood Status of Jakarta City,” 2023. doi: https://doi.org/10.35842/icostec.v2i1.38.

M. Putra, M. S. Rosid, and D. Handoko, “Rainfall Estimation Model in Seasonal Zone and Non-Seasonal Zone Regions Using Weather Radar Imagery Based on a Gradient Boosting Algorithm,” Atmosphere (Basel), vol. 15, no. 6, Jun. 2024, doi: 10.3390/atmos15060726.

N. Hidayat, “Flood Disaster Detection Based on Rainfall Using Random Forest Algorithm,” 2023. [Online]. Available: https://asasijournal.com/index.php/fcsj/article/view/15

S. Dwiasnati and Yudo Devianto, “Optimization of Flood Prediction using SVM Algorithm to determine Flood Prone Areas,” Journal of Systems Engineering and Information Technology (JOSEIT), vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 40–46, Sep. 2022, doi: 10.29207/joseit.v1i2.1995.

N. Fadhlina Mohd Anafi, N. Mohd Noor, H. Widyasamratri, and N. Mohn Noor, “A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW OF REAL-TIME URBAN FLOOD FORECASTING MODEL IN MALAYSIA AND INDONESIA-CURRENT MODELLING AND CHALLENGE,” 2023.

D. Feblian and D. U. Daihani, “IMPLEMENTASI MODEL CRISP-DM UNTUK MENENTUKAN SALES PIPELINE PADA PT X”.2016.

Y. A. Singgalen, “Analisis Performa Algoritma NBC, DT, SVM dalam Klasifikasi Data Ulasan Pengunjung Candi Borobudur Berbasis CRISP-DM,” Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS), vol. 4, no. 3, Dec. 2022, doi: 10.47065/bits.v4i3.2766.

E. W. T. Ngai, L. Xiu, and D. C. K. Chau, “Application of data mining techniques in customer relationship management: A literature review and classification,” 2009, Elsevier Ltd. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2008.02.021.

S. Siddique, M. A. Haque, R. George, K. D. Gupta, D. Gupta, and M. J. H. Faruk, “Survey on Machine Learning Biases and Mitigation Techniques,” Digital, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 1–68, Mar. 2024, doi: 10.3390/digital4010001.

G. Mariscal, Ó. Marbán, and C. Fernández, “A survey of data mining and knowledge discovery process models and methodologies,” Jun. 2010. doi: 10.1017/S0269888910000032.

S. Singh and J. Prasad, “Estimation of Missing Values in the Data Mining and Comparison of Imputation Methods,” Mathematical Journal of Interdisciplinary Sciences, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 75–90, Mar. 2013, doi: 10.15415/mjis.2013.12015.

A. Triayudi, Sumiati, T. Nurhadiyan H, and V. Rosalina, “Data mining implementation to predict sales using time series method,” in International Conference on Electrical Engineering, Computer Science and Informatics (EECSI), Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science, 2020, pp. 1–6. doi: 10.11591/eecsi.v7.2028.

R. Alkentar and T. Mankovits, “Optimization of Additively Manufactured and Lattice-Structured Hip Implants Using the Linear Regression Algorithm from the Scikit-Learn Library,” Crystals (Basel), vol. 13, no. 10, Oct. 2023, doi: 10.3390/cryst13101513.

A. M. Abdulazeez, M. A. Sulaiman, and D. Q. Zeebaree, “Evaluating Data Mining Classification Methods Performance in Internet of Things Applications,” Journal of Soft Computing and Data Mining, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 11–25, 2020, doi: 10.30880/jscdm.2020.01.02.002.


Bila bermanfaat silahkan share artikel ini

Berikan Komentar Anda terhadap artikel Penerapan Algoritma Random Forest untuk Memprediksi Curah Hujan pada Masa Mendatang di Daerah Berpotensi Banjir

Dimensions Badge
Article History
Submitted: 2024-07-17
Published: 2024-09-30
Abstract View: 1165 times
PDF Download: 719 times
How to Cite
Aswarisman, N., Handayani, A., & Hadi, I. (2024). Penerapan Algoritma Random Forest untuk Memprediksi Curah Hujan pada Masa Mendatang di Daerah Berpotensi Banjir. Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS), 6(2), 1222-1230. https://doi.org/10.47065/bits.v6i2.5593
Section
Articles