Analisis Pengaruh ROE, NPL, Kebijakan Suku Bunga Terhadap Fluktuasi Harga Saham Perbankan BUMN


  • Tiara Yuliana Bakris * Mail Universitas Indonesia Membangun, Kota Bandung, Indonesia
  • Riyandi Nur Sumawidjaja Universitas Indonesia Membangun, Kota Bandung, Indonesia
  • (*) Corresponding Author
Keywords: Return on Equity; Non-Performing Loan; Interest Rate Policy; Stock Price; Banking

Abstract

Fluctuations in BUMN banking stock prices, driven by internal performance and macroeconomics, create uncertainty for market participants, necessitating further analysis of the influencing factors. This analysis examines the impact of Return on Equity (ROE), Non-Performing Loans (NPL), & Interest Rate Policy on the stock price in BUMN banking in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2017-2024. The method applied is quantitative using an associative approach. The research utilized secondary data collected from annual reports, the website of Bank Indonesia, and the IDX as sources of information for the analysis data. Analysis stages included descriptive statistical tests, classical assumption tests, multiple linear regression analysis, the coefficient of determination R², t-tests, and F-tests using the SPSS 29 data analysis application. Results of the analysis indicate that ROE, NPL, and Interest Rate Policy affect Stock Price simultaneously, through a significance of 0.020 < 0.05. Individually, ROE has no significant impact (Sig. 0.235 > 0.05), NPL has a significant negative impact (Sig. 0.004 < 0.05), and Interest Rate Policy has no significant impact (Sig. 0.182 > 0.05). Adjusted R-Square results indicate that the three-variable regression model from this research contributes 21.6% to Stock Price, while another 78.4% are influenced by factors outside the scope of the research regression model. These outcomes are expected to develop financial literature on capital markets and guide BUMN banking in mitigating credit risk to maintain stock price stability.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Alfiyah, D. N., Syarif, D., & Sajekti, T. (2025). Pengaruh ROA, ROE, dan EPS Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Sektor Kesehatan Periode 2017-2024. RIGGS: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business, 4(4), 2322–2328. https://doi.org/10.31004/riggs.v4i4.3780

Annisya, D., Munandar, A., & Ratu, M. K. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh CAR, LDR, BOPO, NPL Terhadap Pertumbuhan Laba Pada Sektor Perbankan. Journal of Business and Economics Research (JBE), 6(1), 263–275. https://doi.org/10.47065/jbe.v6i1.7043

Aprilliani, P., Sudaryo, Y., Mubarok, D. A. A., Herlina, L., & Suryaningprang, A. (2024). Pengaruh Current Ratio (CR) Return On Equity (ROE) Dan Price Earning Ratio (PER) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada PT Alam Sutera Tbk Periode 2013 – 2022. JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi), 10(2), 1474–1484. https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v10i2.2370

Aryanti, A. N., Rahmi, P. P., & Herlina, L. (2022). Pengaruh ROA, ROE, LDR, CAR, Dan NPL Terhadap Harga Saham Perbankan Yang Terdaftar di BEI. ARBITRASE: Journal of Economics and Accounting, 3(1), 156–163. https://doi.org/10.47065/arbitrase.v3i1.479

Aryawati, N. P. A., Harahap, T. K., Yanti, N. N. S. A., Mahardika, I. M. N. O., Widiniarsih, D. M., Ahmad, M. I. S., Mattunruang, A. A., Selvi, & Amali, L. M. (2022). Manajemen Keuangan. Tahta Media Group.

Asmara, D., Yamasitha, Y., & Anggraini, D. (2024). Pengaruh Return On Asset, Tingkat Inflasi, Suku Bunga dan Debt to Equity Ratio terhadap Harga Saham. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 3(2), 65–73. https://doi.org/10.57151/jeko.v3i2.360

Binekasri, R. (2024). Kapitalisasi Pasar Bursa RI Rp11.461 T, 35% Perusahaan Keuangan. CNBC Indonesia. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/20240422113702-17-532207/kapitalisasi-pasar-bursa-ri-rp11461-t-35-perusahaan-keuangan

Cipta, V. A. P., & Djawoto. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Return On Equity (ROE), Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Food and Beverages Yang Terdaftar Di BEI. Jurnal Ilmu dan Riset Manajemen, 10(2), 1–21. https://jurnalmahasiswa.stiesia.ac.id/index.php/jirm/article/view/3904

Fazriati, W., & Herlinawati, E. (2024). Pengaruh Earning Per Share (EPS), Return On Asset (ROA), Dan Return On Equity (ROE) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan PT Gudang Garam Tbk Periode 2012-2022. JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi), 10(2), 945–953. https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v10i2.2148

Ghozali, I. (2021). Aplikasi Analisis Multivariate dengan Program IBM SPSS 26. Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro.

Hasniawati. (2021). Pengaruh Return On Assets (ROA), Return On Equity (ROE) Dan Price Earning Ratio (PER) Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Perbankan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. KINDAI, 17(1), 018–031. https://doi.org/10.35972/kindai.v17i1.555

Hulukati, F., Ishak, idham M., & Pongoliu, Y. I. D. (2025). Pengaruh Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Kinerja Keuangan Pada Perusahaan Bank Umum Nasional Dibawah Otoritas Jasa Keuangan Periode 2019-2023. YUME: Journal of Management, 8(3), 920–935. https://doi.org/10.37531/yum.v8i3.10000

IDX. (2024). Sukses Tutup Tahun 2024, Pertumbuhan Positif Mendorong Kepercayaan Pasar Modal Indonesia. IDX. https://www.idx.co.id/id/berita/siaran-pers/2288

Kasmir. (2019). Analisis Laporan Keuangan. Rajagrafindo Persada.

Mahiri, E. A., & Hernita, N. (2023). Pengaruh Suku Bunga, Earning Per Share, dan Retun On Equity Terhadap Harga Saham (Studi Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sub Sektor Makanan Dan Minuman Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2018-2020). Jurnal Akuntansi Kompetif, 6(1), 143–150. https://doi.org/10.35446/akuntansikompetif.v6i1.1193

OJK. (2021). Laporan Profil Industri Perbankan - Triwulan IV 2021.

Purnamasari, S., & Sitorus, R. R. (2023). Pengaruh Non Performing Loan (NPL), Loan To Deposit Ratio (LDR) dan Return On Asset (ROA) terhadap Harga Saham pada Industri Perbankan. JIIP - Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pendidikan, 6(12), 9741–9750. https://doi.org/10.54371/jiip.v6i12.3302

Ramdaniah, A., & Lestari, D. (2022). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Non Performing Loan, Suku Bunga Terhadap Harga Saham. KALBISIANA : Jurnal Mahasiswa Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis Kalbis, 8(4), 4822–4834.

Saharani, D., & Febriyanti, D. (2025). Pengaruh Price to Book Value, ROE, CR dan DER Terhadap Harga Saham. Economic Reviews Journal, 4(3), 1404–1414. https://doi.org/10.56709/mrj.v4i3.866

Saladin, H., Oktariansyah, O., Sudiyanto, T., & Usman, B. (2022). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga BI dan Non Performing Loan (NPL) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Bank BUMN Yang Terdaftar Di LQ-45 Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Media Wahana Ekonomika, 19(1), 61–74. https://doi.org/10.31851/jmwe.v19i1.8007

Salsabilla, T. N., & Herlinawati, E. (2024). Pengaruh Return On Assets (ROA), Return On Equity (ROE), Earning Per Share (EPS), dan Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) Terhadap Harga Saham pada PT Bank KB Bukopin Tbk Periode 2014 - 2023. eCo-Buss: Economics and Business, 7(2), 1265–1278. https://doi.org/10.32877/eb.v7i2.1859

Sari, P., Priharta, A., & Riyanti, R. (2025). Pengaruh ROA, NIM, NPL, dan EPS Terhadap Harga Saham Perbankan BUMN (2016-2023). Media Riset Bisnis Ekonomi Sains dan Terapan, 4(1), 142–156. https://doi.org/10.71312/mrbest.v4i1.544

Selvia, M., & Syarif, D. (2024). Pengaruh Current Ratio, Return on Equity dan Debt to Equity Ratio Terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sub Sektor Property dan Real Estate yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada Tahun 2014-2023. Economic Reviews Journal, 3(2), 1397–1409. https://doi.org/10.56709/mrj.v3i2.474

Senjaya, E., & Sumawidjaja, R. N. (2025). Pengaruh Debt To Equity Ratio (DER), Return On Assets (ROA) dan Return On Equity (ROE) terhadap harga saham pada perusahaan perbankan di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2016-2023. Journal of Information System, Applied, Management, Accounting and Research, 9(1), 252–263. https://doi.org/10.52362/jisamar.v9i1.1734

Setiandy, C. H., & Buchory, H. A. (2025). Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga dan ROA terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Makanan dan Minuman Terdaftar di BEI 2020–2023. Paradoks : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 8(4), 64–78. https://doi.org/10.57178/paradoks.v8i4.1600

Sulistiyanti, I., Rimawa, M., & Huda, N. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Inflansi, BI Rate, Kurs Valuta Asing Dan Return On Equity (ROE) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Bank BUMN Yang Terdaftar Di BEI. Ekopedia: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, 1(2), 487–499. https://doi.org/10.63822/hrjhvq78

Yanuar, U. T., Sudaryo, Y., & Sofiati (Efi), N. A. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Return on Asset, Return on Equity, dan Earning Per Share Terhadap Harga Saham. Jurnal Indonesia Membangun, 20(03), 259–278. https://doi.org/10.56956/jim.v20i03.66

Zakaria, S. D., Sudaryo, Y., & Sofiati (Efi), N. A. (2022). Analisis Return On Asset, Return On Equity, Dan Earning Per Share Terhadap Harga Saham (Studi Pada 4 Perusahaan Perbankan Bumn Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2010-2019). Jurnal Indonesia Membangun, 21(01), 162–184. https://doi.org/10.56956/jim.v21i01.76


Bila bermanfaat silahkan share artikel ini

Berikan Komentar Anda terhadap artikel Analisis Pengaruh ROE, NPL, Kebijakan Suku Bunga Terhadap Fluktuasi Harga Saham Perbankan BUMN

Dimensions Badge
Article History
Published: 2026-06-30
Abstract View: 0 times
PDF Download: 0 times
Issue
Section
Articles