Analisis Pengaruh ROE, NPL, Kebijakan Suku Bunga Terhadap Fluktuasi Harga Saham Perbankan BUMN
Abstract
Fluctuations in BUMN banking stock prices, driven by internal performance and macroeconomics, create uncertainty for market participants, necessitating further analysis of the influencing factors. This analysis examines the impact of Return on Equity (ROE), Non-Performing Loans (NPL), & Interest Rate Policy on the stock price in BUMN banking in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2017-2024. The method applied is quantitative using an associative approach. The research utilized secondary data collected from annual reports, the website of Bank Indonesia, and the IDX as sources of information for the analysis data. Analysis stages included descriptive statistical tests, classical assumption tests, multiple linear regression analysis, the coefficient of determination R², t-tests, and F-tests using the SPSS 29 data analysis application. Results of the analysis indicate that ROE, NPL, and Interest Rate Policy affect Stock Price simultaneously, through a significance of 0.020 < 0.05. Individually, ROE has no significant impact (Sig. 0.235 > 0.05), NPL has a significant negative impact (Sig. 0.004 < 0.05), and Interest Rate Policy has no significant impact (Sig. 0.182 > 0.05). Adjusted R-Square results indicate that the three-variable regression model from this research contributes 21.6% to Stock Price, while another 78.4% are influenced by factors outside the scope of the research regression model. These outcomes are expected to develop financial literature on capital markets and guide BUMN banking in mitigating credit risk to maintain stock price stability.
Downloads
References
Alfiyah, D. N., Syarif, D., & Sajekti, T. (2025). Pengaruh ROA, ROE, dan EPS Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Sektor Kesehatan Periode 2017-2024. RIGGS: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business, 4(4), 2322–2328. https://doi.org/10.31004/riggs.v4i4.3780
Annisya, D., Munandar, A., & Ratu, M. K. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh CAR, LDR, BOPO, NPL Terhadap Pertumbuhan Laba Pada Sektor Perbankan. Journal of Business and Economics Research (JBE), 6(1), 263–275. https://doi.org/10.47065/jbe.v6i1.7043
Aprilliani, P., Sudaryo, Y., Mubarok, D. A. A., Herlina, L., & Suryaningprang, A. (2024). Pengaruh Current Ratio (CR) Return On Equity (ROE) Dan Price Earning Ratio (PER) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada PT Alam Sutera Tbk Periode 2013 – 2022. JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi), 10(2), 1474–1484. https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v10i2.2370
Aryanti, A. N., Rahmi, P. P., & Herlina, L. (2022). Pengaruh ROA, ROE, LDR, CAR, Dan NPL Terhadap Harga Saham Perbankan Yang Terdaftar di BEI. ARBITRASE: Journal of Economics and Accounting, 3(1), 156–163. https://doi.org/10.47065/arbitrase.v3i1.479
Aryawati, N. P. A., Harahap, T. K., Yanti, N. N. S. A., Mahardika, I. M. N. O., Widiniarsih, D. M., Ahmad, M. I. S., Mattunruang, A. A., Selvi, & Amali, L. M. (2022). Manajemen Keuangan. Tahta Media Group.
Asmara, D., Yamasitha, Y., & Anggraini, D. (2024). Pengaruh Return On Asset, Tingkat Inflasi, Suku Bunga dan Debt to Equity Ratio terhadap Harga Saham. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 3(2), 65–73. https://doi.org/10.57151/jeko.v3i2.360
Binekasri, R. (2024). Kapitalisasi Pasar Bursa RI Rp11.461 T, 35% Perusahaan Keuangan. CNBC Indonesia. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/20240422113702-17-532207/kapitalisasi-pasar-bursa-ri-rp11461-t-35-perusahaan-keuangan
Cipta, V. A. P., & Djawoto. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Return On Equity (ROE), Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Food and Beverages Yang Terdaftar Di BEI. Jurnal Ilmu dan Riset Manajemen, 10(2), 1–21. https://jurnalmahasiswa.stiesia.ac.id/index.php/jirm/article/view/3904
Fazriati, W., & Herlinawati, E. (2024). Pengaruh Earning Per Share (EPS), Return On Asset (ROA), Dan Return On Equity (ROE) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan PT Gudang Garam Tbk Periode 2012-2022. JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi), 10(2), 945–953. https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v10i2.2148
Ghozali, I. (2021). Aplikasi Analisis Multivariate dengan Program IBM SPSS 26. Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro.
Hasniawati. (2021). Pengaruh Return On Assets (ROA), Return On Equity (ROE) Dan Price Earning Ratio (PER) Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Perbankan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. KINDAI, 17(1), 018–031. https://doi.org/10.35972/kindai.v17i1.555
Hulukati, F., Ishak, idham M., & Pongoliu, Y. I. D. (2025). Pengaruh Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Kinerja Keuangan Pada Perusahaan Bank Umum Nasional Dibawah Otoritas Jasa Keuangan Periode 2019-2023. YUME: Journal of Management, 8(3), 920–935. https://doi.org/10.37531/yum.v8i3.10000
IDX. (2024). Sukses Tutup Tahun 2024, Pertumbuhan Positif Mendorong Kepercayaan Pasar Modal Indonesia. IDX. https://www.idx.co.id/id/berita/siaran-pers/2288
Kasmir. (2019). Analisis Laporan Keuangan. Rajagrafindo Persada.
Mahiri, E. A., & Hernita, N. (2023). Pengaruh Suku Bunga, Earning Per Share, dan Retun On Equity Terhadap Harga Saham (Studi Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sub Sektor Makanan Dan Minuman Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2018-2020). Jurnal Akuntansi Kompetif, 6(1), 143–150. https://doi.org/10.35446/akuntansikompetif.v6i1.1193
OJK. (2021). Laporan Profil Industri Perbankan - Triwulan IV 2021.
Purnamasari, S., & Sitorus, R. R. (2023). Pengaruh Non Performing Loan (NPL), Loan To Deposit Ratio (LDR) dan Return On Asset (ROA) terhadap Harga Saham pada Industri Perbankan. JIIP - Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pendidikan, 6(12), 9741–9750. https://doi.org/10.54371/jiip.v6i12.3302
Ramdaniah, A., & Lestari, D. (2022). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Non Performing Loan, Suku Bunga Terhadap Harga Saham. KALBISIANA : Jurnal Mahasiswa Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis Kalbis, 8(4), 4822–4834.
Saharani, D., & Febriyanti, D. (2025). Pengaruh Price to Book Value, ROE, CR dan DER Terhadap Harga Saham. Economic Reviews Journal, 4(3), 1404–1414. https://doi.org/10.56709/mrj.v4i3.866
Saladin, H., Oktariansyah, O., Sudiyanto, T., & Usman, B. (2022). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga BI dan Non Performing Loan (NPL) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Bank BUMN Yang Terdaftar Di LQ-45 Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Media Wahana Ekonomika, 19(1), 61–74. https://doi.org/10.31851/jmwe.v19i1.8007
Salsabilla, T. N., & Herlinawati, E. (2024). Pengaruh Return On Assets (ROA), Return On Equity (ROE), Earning Per Share (EPS), dan Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) Terhadap Harga Saham pada PT Bank KB Bukopin Tbk Periode 2014 - 2023. eCo-Buss: Economics and Business, 7(2), 1265–1278. https://doi.org/10.32877/eb.v7i2.1859
Sari, P., Priharta, A., & Riyanti, R. (2025). Pengaruh ROA, NIM, NPL, dan EPS Terhadap Harga Saham Perbankan BUMN (2016-2023). Media Riset Bisnis Ekonomi Sains dan Terapan, 4(1), 142–156. https://doi.org/10.71312/mrbest.v4i1.544
Selvia, M., & Syarif, D. (2024). Pengaruh Current Ratio, Return on Equity dan Debt to Equity Ratio Terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sub Sektor Property dan Real Estate yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada Tahun 2014-2023. Economic Reviews Journal, 3(2), 1397–1409. https://doi.org/10.56709/mrj.v3i2.474
Senjaya, E., & Sumawidjaja, R. N. (2025). Pengaruh Debt To Equity Ratio (DER), Return On Assets (ROA) dan Return On Equity (ROE) terhadap harga saham pada perusahaan perbankan di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2016-2023. Journal of Information System, Applied, Management, Accounting and Research, 9(1), 252–263. https://doi.org/10.52362/jisamar.v9i1.1734
Setiandy, C. H., & Buchory, H. A. (2025). Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga dan ROA terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Makanan dan Minuman Terdaftar di BEI 2020–2023. Paradoks : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 8(4), 64–78. https://doi.org/10.57178/paradoks.v8i4.1600
Sulistiyanti, I., Rimawa, M., & Huda, N. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Inflansi, BI Rate, Kurs Valuta Asing Dan Return On Equity (ROE) Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Bank BUMN Yang Terdaftar Di BEI. Ekopedia: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, 1(2), 487–499. https://doi.org/10.63822/hrjhvq78
Yanuar, U. T., Sudaryo, Y., & Sofiati (Efi), N. A. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Return on Asset, Return on Equity, dan Earning Per Share Terhadap Harga Saham. Jurnal Indonesia Membangun, 20(03), 259–278. https://doi.org/10.56956/jim.v20i03.66
Zakaria, S. D., Sudaryo, Y., & Sofiati (Efi), N. A. (2022). Analisis Return On Asset, Return On Equity, Dan Earning Per Share Terhadap Harga Saham (Studi Pada 4 Perusahaan Perbankan Bumn Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2010-2019). Jurnal Indonesia Membangun, 21(01), 162–184. https://doi.org/10.56956/jim.v21i01.76
Bila bermanfaat silahkan share artikel ini
Berikan Komentar Anda terhadap artikel Analisis Pengaruh ROE, NPL, Kebijakan Suku Bunga Terhadap Fluktuasi Harga Saham Perbankan BUMN
Pages: 578-586
Copyright (c) 2026 Tiara Yuliana Bakris, Riyandi Nur Sumawidjaja

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (Refer to The Effect of Open Access).













