Pengaruh Ekspor dan Impor Pertanian terhadap Indeks Harga Produsen Indonesia Tahun 2010-2024 dalam Perspektif Ekonomi Islam
-
Rama Risandi
*
Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung, Bandar Lampung,
Indonesia
- Nurlaili Nurlaili Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung, Bandar Lampung, Indonesia
- Liya Ermawati Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung, Bandar Lampung, Indonesia (*) Corresponding Author
Abstract
This study examines how the import and export of agricultural commodities influenced the Producer Price Index (PPI) for Indonesian agricultural products between 2010 and 2024, viewed through the lens of Islamic economics. The research topic is grounded in the fluctuations of agricultural product prices, which can impact consumer purchasing power, national food stability, and farmer welfare. The study employs a combination of quantitative techniques and a descriptive-verification approach. Secondary data sources include the World Bank, FAO, CIS, ITC, and BPS. Data analysis was conducted using SPSS 27, utilizing multiple linear regression, partial regression, simultaneous regression, and the coefficient of determination. This research is unique in that it investigates the relationship between producer prices and agricultural commodity trade over a relatively long period while integrating empirical findings with Islamic economic concepts of justice and welfare. The results indicate that exports have a significant negative impact on the Producer Price Index (coefficient: -0.603; significance: 0.003), whereas imports have a significant positive impact (coefficient: 0.641; significance: 0.000). Imports and exports exert a significant simultaneous impact, with an F-value of 13.053 and a significance level of 0.001. With a coefficient of determination of 0.685, these two factors explain 68.5% of price movements. This study contributes an empirical foundation for developing agricultural trade policies that are fairer, more sustainable, and more equitable, thereby safeguarding farmers, consumers, and national food security.
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